Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.299450 0.343249 0.390212 0.444192 0.504402 0.569370 0.644646
2025-12-21 0.227648 0.286526 0.354624 0.438706 0.539189 0.654857 0.797477
2025-12-28 0.186785 0.256484 0.342903 0.456672 0.601099 0.776822 1.005100
2026-01-04 0.155011 0.231278 0.332230 0.473209 0.662188 0.903656 1.231891
2026-01-11 0.126111 0.204109 0.314088 0.476503 0.705507 1.011493 1.444741
2026-01-18 0.103141 0.180641 0.296736 0.477416 0.744330 1.115731 1.661142
2026-01-25 0.084594 0.160031 0.279819 0.475735 0.777982 1.214475 1.877010
2026-02-01 0.070181 0.143072 0.265466 0.475213 0.812055 1.315320 2.102350
2026-02-08 0.058720 0.128761 0.252859 0.475138 0.845730 1.417019 2.335080
2026-02-15 0.048734 0.114973 0.238751 0.470217 0.870274 1.505596 2.553046
2026-02-22 0.042417 0.106976 0.233545 0.479457 0.918105 1.632906 2.837629
2026-03-01 0.035621 0.096433 0.221804 0.475213 0.942030 1.722817 3.068131
2026-03-08 0.030692 0.088992 0.215104 0.479690 0.981944 1.842443 3.355374
2026-03-15 0.025491 0.079626 0.202919 0.471972 0.998949 1.924518 3.585951
2026-03-22 0.023055 0.076566 0.203646 0.489848 1.064504 2.093725 3.971376
2026-03-29 0.020826 0.073505 0.203861 0.506575 1.129078 2.264987 4.369376
2026-04-05 0.018049 0.068173 0.197950 0.509530 1.166962 2.390772 4.695355
2026-04-12 0.015553 0.062953 0.191394 0.510150 1.199969 2.509316 5.014394
2026-04-19 0.013304 0.057814 0.184122 0.508148 1.227188 2.618392 5.321689
2026-04-26 0.011442 0.053356 0.177799 0.507452 1.256780 2.733255 5.644663
2026-05-03 0.009868 0.049377 0.172035 0.507280 1.287229 2.851139 5.978443
2026-05-10 0.008360 0.045094 0.164606 0.502017 1.305963 2.946995 6.275486
2026-05-17 0.007487 0.043024 0.163225 0.511746 1.358464 3.111933 6.709434